Management of Ecological-Economic Processes of Pollution Accumulation and Assimilation in the Coastal Zone Marine Environment

I.E. Timchenko, I.K. Ivashchenko, E.M. Igumnova

Marine Hydrophysical Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Sevastopol, Russian Federation

Abstract

A model for managing the balance of pollution (getting into the sea with the coastal runoff) assimilation and accumulation, based on the negative feedback between the coastal economic system efficiency and penalties for the sea coastal zone pollution is proposed. The model is constructed by the Adaptive Balance of Causes method and is intended for finding a rational balance of profit from the use of assimilative resources of the marine environment and the costs of maintaining its quality. The increase of pollutions in the coastal zone is taken as proportional to the volume of product realization. The decrease of pollution concentration is related to the environment protection activities paid for by the production.

The model contains the agents for managing the volume of the economic system generalized production release. The agents control pollution accumulation rate at different ones of the bio-chemical processes resulting in the marine environment natural purification. Scenario analysis of ecological-economic processes in the “Land–Sea” system is carried out, and the dependencies of economic subsystem production profitability on penalty sanctions limiting the pollutant flux getting into the sea are constructed. Sea temperature and water mass dynamics effect on these processes is considered. The scenarios of their intra-annual variability are constructed. It is shown that the sea temperature and near-water wind consideration in the model have a significant effect on marine environment pollution level and production profitability.

The conclusion is that the proposed adaptive simulation model “Sea–Land” can be used for forecasting the scenarios of coastal subsystem production processes (the volume of generalized product manufacturing, production cost, profitability) in parallel with the forecast of pollution concentration in the sea scenarios.

Keywords

ecological-economic model, pollution accumulation and assimilation in the sea, consideration of sea temperature and sea surface wind

For citation

Timchenko, I.E., Ivashchenko, I.K. and Igumnova, E.M., 2017. Management of Ecological-Economic Processes of Pollution Accumulation and Assimilation in the Coastal Zone Marine Environment. Physical Oceanography, (1), pp. 68-83. doi:10.22449/1573-160X-2017-1-68-83

DOI

10.22449/1573-160X-2017-1-68-83

References

  1. Daly, H., Farley, J., 2010, “Ecological Economics: Principles and Applications. 2nd edition”, Washington, Island Press, 544 р.
  2. Voinov, A., 2008, “Systems Science and Modeling for Ecological Economics”, New York, Academic Press, 430 p.
  3. Ofiara, D.D., Seneca, J.J., 2001, “Economic Losses from Marine Pollution: a Handbook for Assessment”, Washington, Island Press, 320 p.
  4. Timchenko, I.E., Igumnova, E.M. & Timchenko, I.I., 2000, “Sistemnyy menedzhment i ABC-tekhnologii ustoychivogo razvitiya [System management and ABC-technologies of sustainable development]”, Sevastopol, MGI NAN Ukrainy, 225 p. (in Russian)
  5. Timchenko, I.E., Ivashchenko, I.K. & Igumnova, E.M., 2011, “Upravlenie ekologo-ekonomicheskimi protsessami v integral'noy modeli pribrezhnoy zony morya [Management of ecological-economic processes in the integral model of the sea coastal zone]”, Morskoy gidrofizicheskiy zhurnal, no. 1, pp. 48-66 (in Russian).
  6. Timchenko, I.E., Igumnova, E.M. & Timchenko, I.I., 2016, “Adaptive balance models for environmental-economic systems”, Create Space Independent Publishing Platform, 486 p.
  7. Samhouri, J.F., Levin, P.S., 2012, “Linking land- and sea-based activities to risk in coastal ecosystems”, Biol. Conserv., vol. 145, iss. 1, pp. 118-129.
  8. Guerry, A.D., Ruckelshaus, M.H. & Arkema, K.K. [et al.], 2012, “Modeling benefits from nature: using ecosystem services to inform coastal and marine spatial planning”, Int. J. Bio. Sci. Ecosystem Serv. Management, vol. 8, iss. 1-2, pp. 107-121.
  9. Halpern, B.S., Walbridge, S.S. & Selkoe, K.A. [et al.], 2008, “A global map of human impact on marine ecosystems”, Science, vol. 319, iss. 5865, pp. 948-952.
  10. Heckbert, B.S., Baynes, T. & Reeson, A., 2010, “Agent-based modeling in ecological economics”, Ann. N.Y. Acad. Sci., vol. 1185, pp. 39-53.
  11. Crépin, A.-S., Norberg, J. & Mäler, K.-G., 2011, “Coupled economic-ecological systems with slow and fast dynamics – modelling and analysis method”, Ecol. Econom., vol. 70, iss. 8, pp. 1448-1458.
  12. Goetz, R., Zilberman, D., 2000, “The dynamics of spatial pollution: the case of phosphorus runoff from agricultural land”, J. Econ. Dyn. Contr., vol. 24, iss. 1, pp. 143-163.
  13. Christie, P., 2005, “Is integrated coastal management sustainable?”, Ocean Coast. Manag., vol. 48, iss. 3-6, pp. 208-232.
  14. Elofsson, K., Folmer, H. & Gren, I.-M., 2003, “Management of eutrophicated coastal ecosystems: a synopsis of the literature with emphasis on theory and methodology”, Ecol. Econom., vol. 47, iss. 1, pp. 1-11.
  15. Shogren, J.F., Parkhurst, G.M. & Settle, C., 2003, “Integrating economics and ecology to protect nature on private lands: models, methods, and mindsets”, Environ. Sci. Policy, vol. 6, iss. 3, pp. 233-242.

Download the article (PDF)